Per this article, there are four phenomena driving the current heat wave –

 

  • El Niño – estimated to cause a 0.25F increase
  • Solar fluctuations – estimated to cause a 0.09F increase
  • The 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcanic eruption – estimated to cause a 0.06F increase
  • Global warming – estimated to be at least 2.0F

 

Put those four together and you have a +/-2.4F increase in the temperature.

Models are now saying temperatures will continue to rise and we will exceed the 2.7F (1.5C) climate tipping point that we do not want to reach, by 2028, or 53 months from now.

 

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